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 Post subject: NYMAG:Voters Didn’t Get the Memo About Blaming Mike Huckabee
PostPosted: Wed Dec 09, 2009 1:15 pm 
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We already knew this, but you can tell there is some surprise.

http://nymag.com/daily/intel/2009/12/vo ... _abou.html
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After a man granted clemency by Mike Huckabee nine years ago murdered four police officers in Seattle last month, many conservative blogs blamed the former Arkansas governor, and pundits were quick to declare his presidential aspirations kaput. But as we suspected, it seems the political implications of the controversy were blown out of proportion. According to Public Policy Polling, Huckabee's favorability rating is basically unchanged, and actually somewhat improved, since the incident. [Public Policy Polling via Political Wire]



Read more: Voters Didn’t Get the Memo About Blaming Mike Huckabee for Cop Killing -- Daily Intel http://nymag.com/daily/intel/2009/12/vo ... z0ZDFtKwSJ

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 Post subject: Re: NYMAG:Voters Didn’t Get the Memo About Blaming Mike Huckabee
PostPosted: Thu Dec 10, 2009 12:07 am 
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Teflon Mike?

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 Post subject: Re: NYMAG:Voters Didn’t Get the Memo About Blaming Mike Huckabee
PostPosted: Thu Dec 10, 2009 12:30 am 
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Don't you think that most people tend to see through unfair and overly harsh criticism, such as Mike Huckabee has had to bear?

A little blame goes a long way, especially when someone truly wanted to give a young person another opportunity to go straight and make his life count. When attacks become too hateful and persistent, people tire of them and start to think the blamers are unreasonably ill-willed. Unless they are the ones directly hurt (families of the slain, etc.) people want to give the benefit of the doubt to a person who acted out of kindness, but may have been misguided.

Sympathy has turned toward Mike because he was unfairly treated. Most people can eventually see through merely political pouncing. Sadly, the true victims and the true problems have been obscured by political posturing.

I am an optimist and hope that out of this tragedy good can come...if we are willing to reform some laws and make sure some loopholes are closed. And I believe Mike will become wiser and come up with better solutions for the future.


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 Post subject: Re: NYMAG:Voters Didn’t Get the Memo About Blaming Mike Huckabee
PostPosted: Thu Dec 10, 2009 1:37 am 
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justgrace wrote:
Don't you think that most people tend to see through unfair and overly harsh criticism, such as Mike Huckabee has had to bear?

A little blame goes a long way, especially when someone truly wanted to give a young person another opportunity to go straight and make his life count. When attacks become too hateful and persistent, people tire of them and start to think the blamers are unreasonably ill-willed.


Most people still believe in personal responsibility, even people who don't practice it in their own lives very well, still believe it (hypocritically -go figure) about other people.

I think it comes down to whether people believe that Gov. Huckabee nine years ago had good reason to think that this man in the future would do the things he did in these recent days.

To the extent that they think that Mike Huckabee had no compelling reason to think that this man would turn out like this one day, is the extent that they hold Mr. Clemmons responsible for his own actions --and hold Gov. Huckabee harmless.

Bear in mind, its likely the people who are giving Mike Huckabee the benefit of the doubt are relatively well-informed people, and no doubt have digested the news in a fairly discerning manner.

Moreover, I think these same sophisticated people hold the authorities in more recent times more accountable than Mike Huckabee, simply because they let Mr. Clemmons slip through the system when he proved himself incapable of making good with his second chance.

IOW, as time marches on and Mr. Clemmons keeps repeat-offending, each legal authority in the chronology of events has an even greater responsibility than the one before. The only difference is, none of these other authorities in Arkansas, or Washington State, are potentially running for POTUS.

Voters who vote mostly on emotion may not be so forgiving during the heat of a campaign when Mike's opponents run the negative ads.

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 Post subject: Re: NYMAG:Voters Didn’t Get the Memo About Blaming Mike Huckabee
PostPosted: Thu Dec 10, 2009 11:27 am 
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VertiCon wrote:
justgrace wrote:
Don't you think that most people tend to see through unfair and overly harsh criticism, such as Mike Huckabee has had to bear?

A little blame goes a long way, especially when someone truly wanted to give a young person another opportunity to go straight and make his life count. When attacks become too hateful and persistent, people tire of them and start to think the blamers are unreasonably ill-willed.


Most people still believe in personal responsibility, even people who don't practice it in their own lives very well, still believe it (hypocritically -go figure) about other people.

I think it comes down to whether people believe that Gov. Huckabee nine years ago had good reason to think that this man in the future would do the things he did in these recent days.

To the extent that they think that Mike Huckabee had no compelling reason to think that this man would turn out like this one day, is the extent that they hold Mr. Clemmons responsible for his own actions --and hold Gov. Huckabee harmless.

Bear in mind, its likely the people who are giving Mike Huckabee the benefit of the doubt are relatively well-informed people, and no doubt have digested the news in a fairly discerning manner.

Moreover, I think these same sophisticated people hold the authorities in more recent times more accountable than Mike Huckabee, simply because they let Mr. Clemmons slip through the system when he proved himself incapable of making good with his second chance.

IOW, as time marches on and Mr. Clemmons keeps repeat-offending, each legal authority in the chronology of events has an even greater responsibility than the one before. The only difference is, none of these other authorities in Arkansas, or Washington State, are potentially running for POTUS.

Voters who vote mostly on emotion may not be so forgiving during the heat of a campaign when Mike's opponents run the negative ads.


In that situation, Miike has videos from the various shows he's been on stating his facts and the different articles from world net daily and it would be easy to direct people to the website that has all this and more if he desires to. If these people really want to know the full truth, it would not be hard to find. It could work out to our favor as it seems to be now.


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 Post subject: Re: NYMAG:Voters Didn’t Get the Memo About Blaming Mike Huckabee
PostPosted: Fri Dec 11, 2009 1:59 pm 
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c murphy wrote:
In that situation, Miike has videos from the various shows he's been on stating his facts and the different articles from world net daily and it would be easy to direct people to the website that has all this and more if he desires to. If these people really want to know the full truth, it would not be hard to find. It could work out to our favor as it seems to be now.


Again, we are talking about people who don't engage in much rational analysis, at all. They vote on superficial emotional images. All they may see is this guy killed a bunch of cops, raped some minors, and it started because Gov. Huckabee "pardoned" him.

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 Post subject: Re: NYMAG:Voters Didn’t Get the Memo About Blaming Mike Huckabee
PostPosted: Fri Dec 11, 2009 3:17 pm 
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The Clemmons situation will be tricky for Huckabee's opponents to use. It would have to be used very wisely. Voters may not like the exploitation of four dead cops to further one's political aspirations. It will be a fine line and one that could blow up in their faces if Huckabee handles it correctly.

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 Post subject: Re: NYMAG:Voters Didn’t Get the Memo About Blaming Mike Huckabee
PostPosted: Sat Dec 12, 2009 1:01 am 
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Yes, but unfortunately, the Clemmons situation is potentially toxic because it exists as part of a group. Otherwise, I believe it would not be a concern as far as 2012...


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 Post subject: Re: NYMAG:Voters Didn’t Get the Memo About Blaming Mike Huckabee
PostPosted: Sat Dec 12, 2009 2:56 am 
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QuoVadisAnima wrote:
Yes, but unfortunately, the Clemmons situation is potentially toxic because it exists as part of a group. Otherwise, I believe it would not be a concern as far as 2012...


Right.

It re-enforces the criticism narrative in the Wayne Dumond story, by vividly illustrating the argument which will be offered that Gov. Huckabee is soft on crime, and too soft-hearted (if not also soft in the head) when it comes to criminals who offer a song and dance about becoming Christians.

The implication being that Gov. Huckabee is either a wuss, a sucker, or both.

I don't think he can weasel his way out of it by deferring to all the other authorities involved who also didn't notice the potential psychopathic tendencies of these very damaged individuals.

Rather, he must meet it head on (as he has been in many of the interviews) and argue that it is the posing and strutting politicians like Governors Romney, Palin, Pawlenty, and (no doubt many others --including Democrats) who are either too cowardly, or too cynical, --or worse-- too politically craven, to address mindless lock-em up and throw-away-the-key chest-thumping, iron-fisted, I'm-tougher-than-you, laws, policies, and practices.

Essentially, the policy makers don't care if legal system makes everyone (small and large) who gets ensnared in it, a career criminal headed for lifetime of incarceration.

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 Post subject: Re: NYMAG:Voters Didn’t Get the Memo About Blaming Mike Huckabee
PostPosted: Sat Dec 12, 2009 4:40 am 
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I agree. He needs to meet it head on now (maybe not like RIGHT now, but soon) because it can only get worse if he handles it reactively rather than proactively.

All his enemies need to do is release news about one recidivist at a time - how long do you think they'll need to do it before people freak? And how many times can GH run around to all the media venues before people start seeing him as a man of many excuses.

You're right - superficial perceptions are what will matter. The average voter is not going to stop, go do their own research & spend time reflecting on this. The average voter is pretty much going to go where the sound bites, images & media push lead them.

I am thinking he should release some kind of statement addressing it at HuckPAC. I have also been thinking that if he does not, it would seem to indicate that he has decided not to run.


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 Post subject: Re: NYMAG:Voters Didn’t Get the Memo About Blaming Mike Huckabee
PostPosted: Sat Dec 12, 2009 12:05 pm 
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Just a reminder this is an open thread. Thanks for the consideration. :)


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 Post subject: Re: NYMAG:Voters Didn’t Get the Memo About Blaming Mike Huckabee
PostPosted: Sun Dec 13, 2009 2:00 am 
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voter wrote:
Just a reminder this is an open thread. Thanks for the consideration. :)


Sure. And, this thing didn't happen in a corner.

He surely can't deny that he was pursuing an unconventional executive clemency policy. All the writers on this subject say that it was way beyond previous Arkansas Governors, and way beyond anything done by any of the Governors of states contiguous to Arkansas.

We Huck supporters need to be as honest as Mike Huckabee needs to be. We need to recognize, and he needs recognize, how the average voter will perceive this unfortunate incident that came (partially) as a result of a controversial policy.

No executive gives 1033 grants of clemency in ten years, accidentally. Huck's critics will say he's a fool. He has to be able to articulate that this controversial policy was intentional and he has to be able to articulate the wisdom of it.

I'm advocating Mike Huckabee make this liability an asset.

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 Post subject: Re: NYMAG:Voters Didn’t Get the Memo About Blaming Mike Huckabee
PostPosted: Sun Dec 13, 2009 2:30 am 
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I think Adam Graham has done an excellent job of framing it the manner you describe - http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/four-errors-in-the-war-against-huckabee/

What do you think, Verticon?


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 Post subject: Re: NYMAG:Voters Didn’t Get the Memo About Blaming Mike Huckabee
PostPosted: Sun Dec 13, 2009 2:38 am 
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Quote:
voter wrote:
Just a reminder this is an open thread. Thanks for the consideration.


Quote:
Sure. And, this thing didn't happen in a corner.


Not quite sure what that response represents. My point was: We had purposely created a Members Only thread to discuss certain topics, including this one.

Secondly, let me repeat here a post introduced by byourcreator in another threat that addresses some of these matters. The post discussions some newly introduced information in Adam Graham's article.

viewtopic.php?f=4&t=21640

Quote:
Here is an excerpt from the end of the article which makes some important points I have not seen elsewhere. Sources are included in the original article.

Quote:
The figure of 1,030 pardons and clemencies is often used to paint a picture of Governor Huckabee letting someone out of jail every three days. However, the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette indicates only 163 of these actions led to actual reduction of sentences. The rest were issued to people who had left prison and who needed a pardon or commutation to be eligible for a job.

Further, we’re only hearing complaints about re-offenses from a handful of these actions. If one looks at his whole record of reducing sentences, Huckabee was right 90% of the time. If one throws in the post-release pardons everyone includes in criticizing Huckabee, he was right 99% of the time.

We don’t judge leaders against each other solely on the basis of clemencies. If one examines the record of every politician, mistakes are going to jump out against everyone. What’s worse — to grant clemency to a robber that becomes a murder or to appoint a soft-on-crime judge who for years fails to mete out appropriate sentences? For example, Mitt Romney appointed a judge who released a convicted killer who moved to Washington and killed again.

It’s true that lives were tragically lost and that Huckabee’s clemency played a role. When one is involved at high levels in the great actions of life — be it politics, the police, military, or even religion — actions have consequences that usually include the loss of large sums of money or the tragic loss of life. Consider that 241 U.S. Marines were killed in Lebanon after Reagan sent them into that country. Whether it’s Washington, Lincoln, Roosevelt, or Eisenhower, show me any great executive leader, and I’ll show you a man who made a mistake that led to a loss of life.

One of my great errors when thinking about Huckabee in 2008 was looking for the perfect candidate. That candidate doesn’t exist. Every potential candidate for 2012 has made mistakes. For Huckabee, some of these clemencies were in error. For Romney, the words “Romneycare” and TARP come to mind. For Sarah Palin, it was championing a well-intentioned but poorly written ethics law that forced her resignation this year.


I really hope everyone will consider these points in their thinking regarding Huckabee and the clemency issue.


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 Post subject: Re: NYMAG:Voters Didn’t Get the Memo About Blaming Mike Huckabee
PostPosted: Sun Dec 13, 2009 2:53 am 
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voter, I believe he means that it did not happen out of people's view or privately - it is all very public at this point so it's not like he is revealing anything.

Verticon was not expressing his own opinion of GH on the issue or questioning his or anyone else's support - which I had understood to be the purpose of the MO forum. He was talking about his projections of what 2012 will look like based on what we know & have already seen - and what course he believes GH should take. That has always been the norm for any issue on this board. Is there a specific concern here or is it just that the topic is sensitive? I don't see anything being discussed here that's not readily available all over the net.

Please don't take this confrontationally. :) I'm just wanting this spelled out because it's starting to get to the point where I am no longer sure what I can say where and when you're as opinionated as I am that can be very stressful! :wink:


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